ehran’s frequently invoked threat of closing the Strait of Hormuz may be far easier to signal than to carry out, not least because it would harm allied China more than the hostile West. For now, the threat is muted as Iran and the United States have returned to the negotiating table. But the shadow of […]
Why Iran may not afford to close the Strait of Hormuz Read More »
By Joseph Epstein and Dalga Khatinoglu Iran is facing a water emergency that hydrologists and environmental experts warn may now be irreversible. Major reservoirs are depleted, groundwater reserves are collapsing, and senior officials are openly warning of citizens rationing water and even evacuating the capital due to water shortages. While the crisis is often attributed to drought or
How Israeli technology could help solve Iran’s water crisis Read More »
Iranians face deepening and severe financial crises, a reality that has fueled nationwide protests and to which the Islamic Republic’s security forces have responded with bloody repression, killing up to 20,000 civilians. Against this backdrop, Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei stated on January 17, 2026, in remarks that reflect a misunderstanding of economic fundamentals, that “government
Why Iran’s Economy Is Irreparable Under the Islamic Republic Read More »
One year after US President Donald Trump returned to the White House and revived the “maximum pressure” sanctions on Iran from his first term, available data show the country’s energy exports remain largely intact. Data from the commodity intelligence firm Kpler, seen by Iran International, show that in 2025 Iran delivered an average of 1.38
Iran’s energy trade defies year of US maximum pressure sanctions Read More »
A 25 percent tariff on US imports from any country that trades with Iran appears aimed at punishing third countries, but it is likely to hit Tehran far harder. The proposed secondary tariffs were announced by President Donald Trump earlier this week in response to a violent crackdown on protesters in Iran. Some commentators have
How Trump’s secondary tariffs could hurt Tehran Read More »
Amid growing speculation about a possible U.S. military strike on Iranian targets—triggered by the horrific killing of thousands of protesters by Iran’s security forces—American news media report that Saudi Arabia, Qatar, and Oman are lobbying Washington to prevent military action against Iran. Oman’s foreign minister visited Tehran on January 10, 2026, at the height of the protests, just two
Why Arab States Are Trying to Prevent a U.S. Attack on Iran Read More »
Iran’s Supreme Leader, Ali Khamenei, has dismissed the latest protests as the work of ‘vandals’ seeking to ‘please the U.S. president’. He insists the Islamic Republic ‘will not back down’. While unconfirmed reports suggest he may have a contingency plan to flee should security forces falter, a more firmly documented exodus is already underway —
Iran: The $145 Billion Exit Wound Read More »
Venezuela’s multibillion-dollar debts to Iran have fallen into uncertainty following the arrest of Nicolás Maduro—an ally of the Islamic Republic—by the United States. Some former Iranian officials and members of parliament have cited debts of between $2 billion and $4 billion that Venezuela owed to Iran. The likely default by Venezuela comes after the December 2024 collapse
Its Allies’ Falls Continue the Destruction of Iran’s Financial Capital Read More »
The fate of the Iranian economy is increasingly shaping debates about the country’s future—one that may prove decisive regardless of how its current political struggles unfold. Public frustration over rising living costs has once again spilled into protests across the country, shining a harsh light on how state resources are allocated and managed. As demonstrations
It’s the economy: grim livelihoods explain Iranian anger Read More »
The Donald Trump administration’s actions since the beginning of 2025 to increase pressure and sanctions on the Islamic Republic with the aim of “halting” Iran’s oil exports have been largely unsuccessful, although this policy has sharply raised the costs for Tehran of evading sanctions. The Trump administration had promised to reduce Iran’s oil exports to
2025: Trump–Khamenei’s Lose-Lose Standoff Over Oil Exports Read More »
